Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.724649 2.909321 3.106238 3.332877 3.587835 3.867343 4.199100
2026-01-18 2.478390 2.737097 3.029096 3.387036 3.819636 4.333280 5.001545
2026-01-25 2.522833 2.866820 3.274639 3.803904 4.488747 5.370038 6.636397
2026-02-01 2.299124 2.649374 3.074897 3.643555 4.406638 5.433680 6.998656
2026-02-08 2.109270 2.455167 2.882931 3.467111 4.272910 5.396002 7.190500
2026-02-15 2.003828 2.357303 2.802767 3.425536 4.311048 5.595022 7.764125
2026-02-22 1.899101 2.252618 2.704775 3.348794 4.287364 5.693800 8.186867
2026-03-01 1.792536 2.139180 2.587431 3.234869 4.196275 5.674220 8.396889
2026-03-08 1.686500 2.021243 2.457460 3.093805 4.051558 5.551607 8.395678
2026-03-15 1.638588 1.977799 2.425573 3.089806 4.112803 5.767821 9.071313
2026-03-22 1.590666 1.931825 2.387272 3.072955 4.151008 5.947684 9.713308
2026-03-29 1.544221 1.885659 2.346059 3.048456 4.173703 6.101396 10.335106
2026-04-05 1.501685 1.847953 2.321581 3.058138 4.271053 6.436734 11.554759
2026-04-12 1.472807 1.828371 2.322702 3.108704 4.445872 6.957048 13.481283
2026-04-19 1.530425 1.932469 2.509560 3.468956 5.215309 8.879190 20.890573
2026-04-26 1.454022 1.840533 2.397930 3.330762 5.046447 8.710393 21.224105
2026-05-03 1.379137 1.748159 2.281733 3.178045 4.836265 8.413587 20.927596
2026-05-10 1.337977 1.703414 2.236215 3.141962 4.849520 8.657061 23.098986
2026-05-17 1.292244 1.650230 2.175225 3.075258 4.795066 8.723454 24.576620
2026-05-24 1.241556 1.588112 2.097947 2.975990 4.666163 8.578601 24.936733
2026-05-31 1.187818 1.520041 2.009201 2.852668 4.479488 8.258829 24.214643
2026-06-07 1.164667 1.496668 1.989443 2.849165 4.539279 8.606338 27.559243
2026-06-14 1.140274 1.470596 1.964281 2.834401 4.573866 8.894202 31.031827